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Reflexions on the political and economic Lebanese news.
Democracy does not need "conspiracy" or "reconciliation" to function properly, if we were not headed by armed Mafiosi.
The fact is clear that the Lebanese parliament, since his election in June 2005, does not fulfil his duties. The few meetings and decisions were implemented after the agreement between leaders of various Lebanese political mafias and even after agreements between countries, which backed these Mafiosi.
Political assassinations, murders, terrorist attacks, deadly and destructive disorders have been conducted throughout the entire Lebanese territory whenever political disagreements between these mafias blocked the dialogues.
Meanwhile, we noticed the presence of talks between Syria and Israel with easing of Syrian policy toward Israel and France since July 2008. The Lebanese fear a Syrian Israeli cabal to share Lebanon between these two countries as they did during the last Lebanese civil war.
Alongside these Syrian manoeuvres to ease the anti Syrian pressure from Western countries, there is shunting of pro Syrian Lebanese political groups under the banner of so-called reconciliation between political leaders who are competing for three years on the Lebanese political scene.
Despite the continuation of political assassinations and insecurity in the entire territory of Lebanon, we see the media calls for reconciliation between individuals within each religious community! They want to reconcile the various Druze heads together. Then we see calls to reconcile the various Sunni leaders together. Then we hear calls to reconcile the various Maronite leaders together. In the Shia faith, it is true that for a long time, Hezbollah and Amal, whose armed militias are omnipresent, had confiscated the authority on the Shiites of Lebanon.
Are we in the process of preparing religious cantons in Lebanon and promote the annexation of areas of Lebanon by Syria and Israel? The Syrian-Israeli talks are to the Golan litigation or for the division and annexation of Lebanon by neighbouring countries? Or simply Lebanese Mafiosi have agreed to truce and will try to dominate using next legislative elections in spring 2009?
By pooling our information we see that the disagreement is serious and deep between the Lebanese democrats on one side and pro Syrians groups in Lebanon on the other side. They do not want to surrender their weapons to the Lebanese state unless they come to dominate the power of the country. They hope to win a majority in parliament in the parliamentary elections of spring 2009. They began their election campaigns of attempted reconciliations and truces, which should continue until the elections.
Meanwhile, pro Syrians groups have forced the hand of President Michel SLEIMAN to delay the dialogue meetings he tried to start on 16 September 2008. It is not otherwise to provide an explanation of the next meeting two months later on November 5 2008! The President wants to save face. The arming of Hezbollah is a problem insolvent by the kindness and prayers.
Meanwhile, we note the Syrian interference in Lebanon's internal affairs. Syrian President does not hesitate to declare publicly advice or orders that calls for the Lebanese President Michel SLEIMAN such an order to send the Lebanese army into northern Lebanon. He did not hesitate to trace publicly the path to its pro Syrians groups in Lebanon wishing them to try to seize power in Beirut by the parliamentary elections of spring 2009. At the same time, he sent in northern Lebanon Syrian soldiers in civilian clothes to arm and train pro Syrians in the Shiite villages of northern Lebanon. And lately he has installed new military barracks in the northern border of Lebanon creating an atmosphere of threat of flooding North Lebanon by the Syrian army.
Throughout this time, the impoverishment of Lebanese families continues. No political leader would be interested in changing laws and decrees of the Lebanese state to develop the economy and create conditions for increasing employment opportunities and living in peace in Lebanon. Workers of poor and middle classes are not organized to make social and political pressures. No opportunity is emerging on the horizon to help reform this feudal political system that takes the state in hostage for forty years.
II-The LSTDO Position:
We are Free Democrats but we have no means now to change the unfortunate political and economic situation in Lebanon.
Nevertheless, we have a duty to advise poor and middle classes Lebanese who are crushed by the Lebanese Mafiosi politicians.
The farce of "reconciliation" must be cleared. The political leaders seek their personal interests wanting to preserve their chances in the next election campaign. We are going to new political alliances for the sole purpose of new election of these heads of mafias in parliament in spring 2009. They will defer armed conflicts since each leader hopes to improve his position through the next parliamentary elections.
In a truly democratic country, no media reconciliation is needed between politicians of opposing tendencies. Everyone should defend his ideas and try to convince the maximum number of citizens to have an electoral mandate and participate in reforms of the country.
When there is an aggression to a person or group of persons, the laws of the democratic state must apply. The judiciary and court rule all conflicts. Police and military will apply all judgments decisions.
Lebanon is still very far from this state of mind. We have empty democracy without perfume.
The scenes are appalling. The families of murder victims say count on the heads of clans to defend them. Nobody counted on the judiciary to get justice. Nobody believes that the army is able to protect him. The Lebanese media are mobilizing for weeks to discuss attempts of reconciliation with manoeuvres to save the "honour" of each clan head.
The Lebanese media allow us to see a very bleak picture of Lebanon that are most politicized and practice propaganda.
But we are aware that the majority of Lebanese citizens are revolted against this bad situation. The educational effort to civilian democracy in Lebanon is being developed. We hope that reforms can move the country towards true democracy.
But we have two major obstacles, which may delay the democratic evolution.
The first obstacle is the insufficiency of the new democratic electoral law. It is better than the previous one, but leaders of political mafias that have preserved the conditions of their return to power, dealing with the divisions of the territory, leaving the possibilities of influencing voters with money, designed it. Thus, there will be the next parliament that the rich and heads of political clans continue to crush the poor and middle classes of the Lebanese people.
The LSDO continue to campaign for a future election law to allow the choice of a deputy of proximity in a small constituency to represent faithfully each population of each small territory in Lebanon by prohibiting fraudulent alliance between heads of clans and preventing corruption by money. We cannot hope to see true democracy in Lebanon until the deputy feels responsible for his actions only to citizens who voted for him and acts in complete independence from the feudal chiefs or influential figures.
The second obstacle is the presence of heavy weaponry with militias on Lebanese soil that is beyond the authority of the Lebanese democratic state. Nobody can ignore this problem must be solved radically. If armed militias take over state power, we will have a backward dictatorship with terrorist outbreak of civil war and annexation of part of Lebanon by the Syrian regime.
While most Arab countries maintain normal relations with Western democracies, and that Jordan, Egypt and the Palestinian government are in consultation relations with the State of Israel to seek a lasting peace, we, in Lebanon, are hosting extremist organizations, which indoctrinate our children in a culture of terrorism.
The LSTDO think we should eliminate any risk of terrorism on Lebanese soil. Not only we must disarm all militias in Lebanon, but also we must control the education of all children of Lebanon to remove any extremist indoctrination and religious fanaticism.
Currently, the political forces of March 14, Democrats groups fighting for independence of Lebanon, have good reason to count on the support of the United Nations and friends among the Western democracies. But this is not at all sufficient. If the leaders of Hezbollah and its pro Syrian allies do not want to surrender their weapons to the Lebanese State, groups of 14 March will experience a catastrophic defeat if they are not bearing defensive weapons, house-by-house, neighbourhood-by-neighbourhood. Groups of 14 March gave the impression that they now speak with too confidence, remaining totally disarmed and relying on the protection of the army. The dialogues and reconciliations masquerades would not deal with armed militias who want to dominate the Lebanese State. The army and security services currently remain ineffective and unable to disarm these militias. Finally, the present government coalition prevents the leaders of the State to implement a true democratic functioning. The government has neither the will nor the capacity to disarm these hostile militias.
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